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How’s the Market? Q2 2024 Review of Seattle Area Real Estate
Median sales prices were up across the region in Q2 of 2024 compared to this time last year, with the Eastside posting the highest year-over-year appreciation. What should you know that the numbers don’t show? We’re back to a typical PNW seasonal market. Higher temps typically lead buyers to lose focus. There is still quality inventory hitting the market. If you don’t need to sell in order to buy, this summer is the perfect opportunity for you. There are some great deals out there, and this fall election season will be in full swing which will surely have an impact on all markets.
Click or scroll down to find your area report:
Seattle | Eastside | Mercer Island | Condos | Waterfront
SEATTLE
The median home price in Seattle is up 8% year over year to $970,000! We are just 3% shy of the peak median price of $1,000,000 set in Q2 of 2022. With steady growth over the last couple of quarters one might assume that we’ll hit peak prices again shortly. This gain isn’t because of low inventory (up 18%) or a rapid growth in demand (sales are down 4%), it’s likely chalked up to interest rates under 7% AND buyers got tired of sitting on the sidelines. In all cases, the first half of this year has been a breath of fresh air.
Lake Forest Park saw the biggest drop in total number of sales at 34% BUT they also saw the highest jump in median price: up 19% to $1,015,000. Their neighbors to the West, Richmond Beach and Shoreline, saw the largest rise in sales with a 19% gain in total volume AND the only area to post a drop in median price. Down 1%. Madison Park/Capitol Hill is the only other area of the city to post double digit gains. All in all a robust spring quarter.
76% of homes sold for at or above list price and 71% of homes sold in the first 10 days on the market for an average of 105% of the list price. This tells us, if you find “The One,” don’t sleep on it, and be prepared to pay. Especially in the $800,000 to $1,500,000 price band.
Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!
EASTSIDE
Everything’s coming up roses this spring on the Eastside. Home values have soared 16% year-over-year, with the median sale price reaching $1,675,000. This reflects a 4% gain from the peak in 2022. (Not all metro King County areas have reached peak prices again.) This impressive growth reflects a thriving market, with an average home selling for $700 per square foot, up 14% from last year. What’s even more fun? A whopping 78% of homes sold within the first 10 days of listing, showing just how bullish buyers are on the market.
Neighborhoods across the Eastside are shining. Eastside South saw 251 homes sold, marking a 37% increase, with a median sale price of $1,799,000, up 20%. Meanwhile, West Bellevue’s median sale price jumped to $3,574,000, up 13%. Mercer Island continues to charm buyers, with homes selling for an average of $906 per square foot and a median price increase of 18%, reaching $2,585,000.
Overall, the Eastside market is buzzing with activity. With 1,773 homes sold (a 17% rise YoY), it’s clear that both buyers and sellers are seizing opportunities. The increase in new listings by 29% compared to last year adds to the market’s appeal. East Bellevue and Redmond also show significant growth, with median sale prices climbing by 7% and 27%, respectively. The Eastside has staying power post Covid, clearly.
Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!
MERCER ISLAND
Home prices have seen a remarkable year-over-year increase of 18%, with the median sale price reaching $2,585,000. While this is a great sign for the health of the market, we’re still 5% below the 2022 peak. Affordability seems to be what is driving the market forward. Interest rates are down YoY. In relation to Q1 2024, prices are up a modest 2.5% which feels to us like: healthy sustainable growth.
Q2 2024 saw only a 3% rise in new listings compared to the same quarter last year, while there were 3 fewer homes sold in 2024 vs. 2023. Inventory and absorption remains relatively flat year over year. So it might be surprising that there is a robust demand for Mercer Island properties, with 66% of homes sold within the first 10 days of listing and that 18% rise in median price. Lower asking prices coupled with slight interest rate relief seem to be the explanation.
Taking a peek at the neighborhood snapshot reveals varying performance across different Mercer Island areas, yet the overall trend remains positive. For instance, the Northend saw 15 homes sold at an average of $810 per square foot, with 73% of these sales occurring at or above the listing price, and 60% sold within the first 10 days. On the higher end, East Seattle and The Lakes neighborhoods showcased exceptional performance, with all homes sold at or above the listing price and achieving 100% sales within the first 10 days. Overall, the average price per square foot for the island increased year-over-year, reaching $906.
Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!
CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE
It’s good news only in the condo market! Seattle condos saw modest yet positive growth, with the median sale price rising 5% year-over-year to $636,000. The average price per square foot climbed to $649, a 7% increase, showing strong market demand. Condos in Ballard and Green Lake led the charge with a 31% increase in sales volume, while Downtown-Belltown, despite a 14% drop in sales, saw prices rise by 10%. Demand seems to be all over the board, but we’re still reporting the highest median sales price ever for Seattle condos!
On the Eastside, the market was buzzing with activity, in large part due to inventory being double what it was in Q2 of 2023. Redmond condos were the stars, with sales skyrocketing by 65% and the median sale price jumping 45% to $850,000. West Bellevue followed suit with a 38% increase in sales and a 33% hike in price per square foot, reaching $1,064. The overall Eastside market saw a 22% rise in sales and a 13% increase in the average price per square foot, now at $660.
It’s important to note that 62% of all condos selling at or above their list price across Seattle and the Eastside, showing a competitive market where buyers are eager to snap up properties quickly. With more new listings than last year there are plenty of opportunities for buyers and sellers alike. Whether you’re eyeing a trendy spot in Ballard or a luxurious condo in West Bellevue, the upbeat condo market promises exciting possibilities for everyone!
Friendly PSA: PLEASE remember that there is a ‘first rung’ of the property ladder. CONDOS create an affordable option to start building wealth at a younger age. It’s an important real estate product that has been overlooked. I am hopeful that enterprising young homeowners return to the condo market in droves this next real estate cycle.
Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.
WATERFRONT
Lake Sammamish led the pack in Q2 with a whopping 15 waterfront sales, while the Eastside was close behind with 12. Of Seattle’s 9 waterfront sales, all but 2 sold in less than 10 days. It was a similar story with Mercer Island’s 6 sales—all but 1 sold in less than 10 days and 4 sold above the asking price. Meydenbauer took the crown for largest waterfront sale, fetching $21.3 million for a truly stunning 1-acre estate with 164 feet of waterfront and a palatial 11,000+ sq. ft. home. The most modest waterfront sale was a Rainier Beach gem on 50 feet of waterfront that sold in just 8 days for $1,725,000.
This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis with your trusted professional.
Main photo courtesy of Wing Walker Aerial Photography
We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.
© Copyright 2024, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and Trendgraphix, and deemed accurate but not guaranteed. Seattle cover photo courtesy of Codi Nelson and HD Estates Photography. Eastside cover photo courtesy of Donovan Realty Group and Tucker English Photography. Mercer Island cover photo courtesy of Yvonne Willard and Ryan Slimak, Clarity Northwest Photography. Condo cover photo courtesy of Luke Bartlett and Matthew Gallant, Clarity Northwest Photography. Waterfront cover photo courtesy of Kathryn Buchanan and Brandon Larson, Clarity Northwest Photography.
How’s the Market? Q3 2023 Review of Seattle Area Real Estate
While median sales prices varied quite a bit from area to area, they stayed relatively stable with most communities posting either modest gains or slight declines compared to this time last year. Low inventory is keeping us in what you might call a “flat” seller’s market…supply is low but prices aren’t appreciating as fast as we would normally see. That being said, if rates float down—and experts believe they will—we could see another frenzy of bidding wars as buyers compete for the few homes on the market. If you’re considering purchasing a home (even if you need to sell yours first), our advice is to get out there and start shopping while you can pick and choose at relatively reasonable prices…
Click or scroll down to find your area report:
Seattle | Eastside | Mercer Island | Condos | Waterfront
SEATTLE
The Seattle residential market showed resilience in Q3 of 2023. While the $894,000 median sales price was down 3% from last year, 60% of sellers fetched sales at or above their list price and 58% sold within the first 10 days. The city saw 2,321 new listings, a 23% reduction from the previous year. This is healthy, for now, with decreased demand due to rising interest rates. When rate pricing eases—and it will according to experts—the lower inventory will be sure to send prices through the roof. NOW IS THE TIME!
Diving deeper into communities, Queen Anne, with its blend of historic charm and modernity, saw a 1% rise in median sales prices to $1,349,000. Kenmore and Lake Forest Park have also held their own—60% of homes sold within the first ten days and both median sales prices and cost-per-square-foot went up 2% over last year. North Seattle remains a strong contender in the market, with 68% of homes selling at or above the list price. West Seattle, with its coastal vibe, saw a remarkable 72% of homes sell at or above the listing price.
The data underscores Seattle’s diverse and dynamic housing landscape, where different communities cater to varied tastes, yet all show promise and potential. Overall, Seattle’s housing market is marching on, optimistically steady, backed by strong analytical data and historically low unemployment.
Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!
EASTSIDE
The Eastside showed steady growth in Q3. With a notable 5% year-over-year rise in home values, the median sales price landed at a respectable $1,460,000. Interestingly, cost per square foot ($625) showed virtually no YOY change. Sellers saw a close alignment with their expectations, as the average list price to sale price for all properties stood at 99%. Furthermore, 58% of homes sold at or above their listing price, a testament to the region’s enduring demand.
Diving deeper, most communities remained fairly stable with modest year-over-year increases. Redmond, Mercer Island and Newcastle/North Renton saw slight declines. The star of the Eastside was West Bellevue, posting 23% more sales than Q3 of last year, a median sales price hike of 14%, and the highest cost-per-square-foot in the region (even after a 14% drop from last year). While overall sales were down about 13% across the region, this was counterbalanced by a 20% drop in new listings keeping the Eastside in a flat seller’s market for the foreseeable future.
Our conclusion? The Eastside’s market remains robust and versatile. Buyers and sellers both need to be savvy, understanding both their micro-markets and the broader trends. For sellers, strategic pricing and presentation remain king! Our advice to buyers: don’t sleep on this market, it will turn fast when interest rates float downward and inventory will not be able to keep up with demand.
Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!
MERCER ISLAND
While Mercer Island’s Q3 median sales price of $2,368,000 was still down slightly compared to Q3 of last year, prices have been trending upward since the beginning of the year. Furthermore, the average price-per-square-foot in Q3 was actually up 6% over last year. More than half of homes sold at or above their list prices (53%) and in 10 days or less (57%)—this is right on par with what we saw in Q3 of 2022. Buyers found room to negotiate on the remaining listings and were able to add contingencies for things like inspections and financing.
We saw a boost in sales compared to last year’s initial interest rate shock, despite a lower number of new listings. This has kept the Island in a flat seller’s market much like we saw in 2018. That being said, Mercer Island homes are taking longer to sell than we saw last year—the average total number of days properties spent on the market before receiving an offer went from 18 days in Q3 2022 to 30 days by Q3 2023. Buyers, perhaps more hesitant due to higher interest rates, are being careful to pick and choose before leaping into a contract.
Overall, the Mercer Island real estate market has remained fairly steady with some signs of growth. While median prices are still down from their spike during the post-COVID frenzy, we should start seeing year-over-year gains if this year’s upward trend continues. For prospective buyers, the landscape offers an opportunity to negotiate favorable deals on those properties that don’t sell right away. For sellers, astute pricing and marketing strategies will continue to win the day.
Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!
CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE
The PNW condo market showed steady growth in Q3 of 2023, with year-over-year median sales prices up by 6% in both Seattle and The Eastside. Overall activity was subdued, however, with a drop in the number of new condo listings corresponding with fewer sales.
When dissecting Seattle’s condo statistics, Shoreline, Lake Forest Park and Kenmore saw the biggest price gains with a whopping 39% rise in median sales price compared to last year. Ballard and Green Lake also saw big gains with median sales price up 25%. Conversely, Shoreline experienced a stark 59% drop in sales and 40% drop in median sales prices, indicating possible shifts in buyer preferences toward the more convenient city center. While Downtown condo sales prices were also down slightly, their shimmering skylines still fetched a premium at $825 per square foot.
The Eastside condo market varied from area to area. Kirkland’s condo sales surged by 18%, with an impressive 43% increase in median sale price. Redmond also shone brightly with a 45% spike in median sale prices. Mercer Island stood out, with its 43% increase in the number of sales and 31% rise in median sale price showcasing its luxury market segment. Conversely, West Bellevue, East Bellevue, and East Lake Sammamish all posted lower year-over-year median sales prices—down -20%, -%12% and -7% respectively.
The juxtaposition of these two markets, and really the neighborhood specific swings within them, highlights the unique characteristics and demands of each, underscoring the need for prospective buyers and sellers to strategize based on specific community data. All the more reason to consult a condo pro!
Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.
WATERFRONT
Seattle once again commanded the highest number of private waterfront sales with 9 total—4 of these sold in 4 days or less, including 2 hot Beach Drive listings in West Seattle that sold above their asking prices. Lake Sammamish was close behind with 8 sales including one that sold immediately (and marked the most affordable waterfront sale at $1.62 million). Mercer Island boasted the highest waterfront sale of the quarter, a stunning North End estate on 120 feet of waterfront that went for $24.4 million. The Eastside held its own with 6 sales and the second highest sale of the quarter—$12 million—for a half-acre Yarrow Point estate on 105 feet of prime west-facing waterfront.
This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis with your trusted professional.
We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.
© Copyright 2023, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and Trendgraphix, and deemed accurate but not guaranteed. Seattle cover photo courtesy of Codi Nelson and HD Estates. Eastside cover photo courtesy of Team RAREnorthwest and Elevato Photography. Condo cover photo courtesy of Jessica Livingston and im3rd Media. Waterfront cover photo courtesy of Anni Zilz and Clarity Northwest Photography.
How’s the Market? Q2 2023 Review of Seattle Area Real Estate
While median sales prices rose in Q2 compared to Q1, they were still down about 10% from last summer’s peak. Most areas saw fewer new listings and sales this year than we saw last year. Supply levels are still low enough to keep us technically in a seller’s market — our Windermere Chief Economist, Matthew Gardner, predicted this will continue, saying, “with relatively few homes on the market and the share of homes with price reductions dropping and list prices rising again, I just can’t see a buyer’s market appearing this year.”
Click or scroll down to find your area report:
Seattle | Eastside | Mercer Island | Condos | Waterfront
SEATTLE
The Seattle market felt a similar adjustment as the Eastside with home prices down about 10% across the board. This spring market had a 27% drop in supply which limited the overall sales. The median closed sales price of $900,000 is up from May’s $830,000, but down 10% year over year offering some relief to buyers feeling the squeeze of high interest rates.
Last quarter, we mentioned keeping an eye on North Seattle and the growth we’ve seen in Shoreline, Lake Forest Park and Kenmore likely due to transit and those seeking affordability. Interestingly, 80% of the Lake Forest Park and Kenmore homes sold at or above their list price (in comparison to Queen Anne at 62%, for example) with prices rising 14% since last quarter but down 19% year over year.
Q2 closed with 879 active residential homes on the market, but no real sense of urgency from buyers (although the average days on market was 20 compared to the Eastside’s 23 days). The presentation of a home coupled with a smart pricing strategy equates to a positive outcome for sellers — we can see this in the 42% of homes that experienced multiple offers with an average boost of 6% over list price. With that said, 26% of Seattle contracts experienced a price negotiation between parties, so if you’re a motivated buyer and write an offer, you could benefit from more traditional contract terms.
Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!
EASTSIDE
The Eastside residential market adjusted significantly this quarter. With a median price of $1,450,000 across all neighborhoods, this is an adjustment of 10% compared to last year. West Bellevue real estate, a luxury market, took the largest adjustment of 16%, down to an average of $996 per square foot. Market times were also slightly longer with 66% of homes selling within the first 10 days; the other 34% of homes had to be more patient in finding their buyer. This means that it took an average of 23 days for a seller to sell their property compared to 7 days at this time last year. However, this is much improved from 52 days in Q1!
Just like Redmond’s condos, its single family residential supply numbers were down 43%—but offered more supply than this time last year. Overall, there were 40% fewer listings than in Q2 of last year. With just 645 active homes available at the end of this quarter and rates closing out ~6.75%, low supply and high interest rates have kept sales stagnant. This time last year, there were 1,105 homes available for sale and rates had just moved across the 5% level.
It’s very true that sales are still happening and price and presentation from the seller matter most. On the Eastside, 39% of homes sold above their list price at an average of 5% over. Many buyers have adjusted their budget with the higher rates and seem motivated to get into the market now when the right home is found. If you can afford the payment, take the leap as a buyer. Sellers are motivated to accept more traditional terms, and you may not be competing amongst others.
Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!
MERCER ISLAND
Much like other Eastside neighborhoods, Mercer Island made a significant adjustment in price—but one area of difference is that supply has remained steady. The south end offered the largest number of sold homes with 20, followed by 16 sold homes mid-island and 12 sold homes on the north end. Mid-island pricing continues to be smack in the middle with an average median sales price of $2,249,000; 75% of mid-island homes sold at or above their listing price, evidence that the desirability of being tucked away from freeway and amenities while still accessible to all is very appealing. Overall, island pricing has adjusted by 19% year over year to a median of $2.2 million compared to $2.7 million this same time last year.
There are currently 36 active homes on the market at the end of this quarter, which is identical to our supply level Q2 last year! This is up slightly from 39 active homes at the end of last quarter. The island is also feeling the pause in demand and urgency and that’s evident in the days on market numbers. Average days on market was 31 this quarter; it only took 7 days to sell your home this time last year. The inventory of homes for sale continues to be unique and striking, and a great pricing strategy equates to both happy seller and happy buyer.
Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!
CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE
For first time homebuyers, condos are still a fantastic starter purchase, whether you want to invest, live in the city or in a more suburban environment. We didn’t experience the same urgency with condo buyers this Spring likely because of interest rates, the fear of tech layoffs, or the transition from remote work to office work.
Year over year, neighborhoods like West Seattle, North Seattle, Queen Anne and Ballard saw strong price gains while South Seattle and Capitol Hill took a 20% median price adjustment. While it’s tough to find a direct correlation for neighborhoods tracking significantly different than others, the price gains are likely due to supply issues in these popular neighborhoods. On the flip side, price adjustments could be a sign that sellers had higher expectations of price before correcting to a normal level with a reduction or negotiation. There were 565 units available at the close of the quarter, down from 605 active units at the close of Q2 last year. Sellers are likely staying put for now, or they are investors with a low interest rate mortgage. Lake Forest Park and Shoreline condos triumphed over others with 81 percent of the 16 total condos selling at or above their list price; 70% of these units sold within the first week.
On the eastside, East Bellevue and East of Lake Sammamish had rising median prices with an average increase of 6% year over year, while other eastside neighborhoods adjusted downward. Redmond condo supply was down 41 percent! Again, this number reflects sellers staying put and with current interest rates hovering around 6.5% today, there may not be a suitable option for them to consider “trading up” to a larger unit or a single family home. With lack of supply and high rates, total sales are stagnant.
Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.
WATERFRONT
Most of the waterfront sales this quarter happened in Seattle with 14 sold homes compared to 6 sold homes last quarter. Just two Mercer Island waterfront properties, located on the north end, sold this quarter (the same number of sales as last quarter!) one with significant competition selling $750,000 above its listing price in just four days. In regard to eastside waterfront homes, while there was just seven sales (also the same number of sold homes as Q1 this year), four of those homes sold in five days or less including a $14m waterfront property on Hunts Point.
This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis with your trusted professional.
© Copyright 2023, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and Trendgraphix, and deemed accurate but not guaranteed. Mercer Island cover photo courtesy of Cynthia Schoonmaker and Clarity Northwest Photography. Eastside cover photo courtesy of Joe Liu and Clarity Northwest Photography. Condo cover photo courtesy of Team RAREnorthwest and Elevato Photography.
How’s the Market? Q3 Real Estate Review
While still considered a seller’s market, our July-September home sale activity signaled the return of some much-needed balance. Seattle and Eastside home prices still posted year-over-year gains in Q3, but rising interest rates markedly slowed the pace of both listings and sales. Houses also stayed on the market longer than we saw during the frenzy earlier this year—the average Seattle home took 17 days to sell, while Eastside homes averaged 25 days to sell. Buyers have a great opportunity to negotiate better terms now with an eye out to refinance when interest rates come down in the future.
Click or scroll down to find your area report:
Seattle | Eastside | Mercer Island | Condos | Waterfront
SEATTLE
There is a lot of good news in Seattle these days: Progress is being made in taking back downtown, the West Seattle Bridge is open AND real estate prices are UP year over year.
Transaction volume is down 35% across the city, which we can likely attribute to the volatility in interest rates, but listing volume is also down 10%. This is comforting! Supply and demand rules the market, and the last thing this balancing market needs is more inventory. We think this drop in seller enthusiasm is likely caused by the golden handcuffs of their historically low interest rates and refinance boom: even if your home isn’t meeting your needs these days, that 2.75% interest rate might be hard to give up.
Seattle’s average list/sold price ratio is 97%. This means if you listed your home for $1,000,000 you could expect to sell for $970,000 in Q3 of this year. Compare this with 82% on the Eastside. Seattle home sellers are more realistic and less affected by the price bloat of the last several years. We didn’t boom as hard, and we may not feel the impacts of a market balance as sharply either.
Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!
EASTSIDE
While we’re finally seeing the numbers reflect what the market has been feeling since May, it’s not as dire as one might think. Sales volume has slowed 38% year over year (based on total transaction count). However, new listings are also down (3%) which means the market reaching its peak has not sparked a sell off. This should keep our new normal buzzing along at pace similar to 2018 and 2019. Great homes that are priced right will sell—21% of homes sold above asking price and 40% of homes sold in the first 10 days.
Median list price is down 6% while median sales price is down 14.5%, which means homeowners looking to sell on the Eastside now have some data points to help them with realistic expectations of how to find the market. Average days on market is 25, which is higher than it’s been since Q1 of 2020! This is still slightly under the 6-year average. Don’t be tempted to think that there is something wrong with a home just because it has been on the market for a month; there are a lot of quality homes ready for their new owners.
The news of the day is interest rates. Heavy volatility in the markets and the administration’s drive to stem inflation have caused many buyers to pull out of the market. If you’re thinking you’ll wait for lower rates AND lower prices, you might be dreaming—if rates come down next year as predicted it will likely spur activity on. Our best advice: THIS is the market you’ve been waiting for. As a buyer you have choice, time and negotiating power for the first time since 2018. Capitalize! Then, refinance later.
Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!
MERCER ISLAND
Given the broader local news, we might expect doom and gloom from Q3 stats—this expert sees lots of opportunity and much needed stabilization after the crazy COVID boom. While median prices have fallen 1% year over year, the average price per square foot is actually UP. What does this mean? Comparing a median with an average is always a little tricky, but this likely points to a slowdown in the sale of larger homes.
To me, the better signs of market predictability are the months supply of inventory for the quarter (about 6 weeks for both condos and single family) and the average days on market (18 for sf and 57 for condo). These are all relatively healthy benchmarks, even though they’re markedly higher than in previous quarters. This is what’s causing media to report doom and gloom: inventory is up sharply (there was ONE active listing at the end of Q4 2021 vs 44 at the end of Q3 2022) and pending sales are down (57 vs. 94 last year in the same time period). When you compare our current numbers to any time period outside of the last two years, we’re faring very well!
The news of the day is interest rates. Heavy volatility in the markets and the administration’s drive to stem inflation have caused many buyers to pull out of the market. If you’re thinking you’ll wait for lower rates AND lower prices, you might be dreaming—if rates come down next year as predicted it will likely spur activity on. Our best advice: THIS is the market you’ve been waiting for. As a buyer you have choice, time and negotiating power for the first time since 2018. Capitalize! Then, refinance later.
Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!
CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE
Condos remain the tortoise as opposed to the hare like residential markets of 2020-early 2022. Slow and steady will definitely win this race as the affordability of homeownership shrinks with rising interest rates. Looking at combined condo data (Eastside + Seattle), months supply of inventory is down to about 6 weeks from 2 months last quarter. Low months supply of inventory and low cumulative days on market (23) are two of the leading indicators of market health, and both are as low or lower as they’ve been in the recent past.
Condo prices are also holding strong with no change to the average $ per square foot in Seattle and an overall 5% rise in median sale price year over year. The Eastside tells an even slightly better story: a 9% rise in $ per square foot and a 6% rise in median sale price despite a 41% year-over-year drop in the number of transactions.
Keep rooting for the tortoise. This is a necessary niche in our marketplace. The first rung on the property ladder is condos again for the first time in a long time, and we really hope our Gen Z and Millennial buyers take the leap!
Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.
WATERFRONT
The most affordable place to buy waterfront this quarter was Beach Dr in West Seattle at a closed sale price of $1,800,000 for 22’ of waterfront on an 11,000 sq. ft. lot. The largest piece of shoreline overall was 172 feet in Medina on Lake Washington, which commanded a sales price of $17,800,000.
This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis provided by a savvy broker with years of local waterfront experience.
We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.
© Copyright 2022, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and deemed accurate but not guaranteed.
